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Olivia Rodrigo, Billie Eilish, Doja Cat All Vying For No. 1 On Next Week’s Billboard 200

Three of pop’s leading ladies are vying for the top spot on next week’s Billboard 200, as recently released albums from Olivia Rodrigo, Billie Eilish and Doja Cat are heating up the chart.

The battle for the No. 1 album is shaping up to be a showdown between Rodrigo’s Sour, Eilish’s Happier Than Ever and Doja Cat’s Planet Her, HITS Daily Double reports. All three albums are projected to move in the vicinity of 55,000 to 60,000 units this week, though they’re all scaling the chart in different ways.

Currently, Rodrigo’s Sour is expected to come out on top with a projected 60,300 units. That includes 9,200 pure sales (physical sales + digital downloads) with the rest coming primarily from streams. The 18-year-old pop phenom’s debut album bowed atop the Billboard 200 on the June 5, 2021 chart with 295,000 album-equivalent units, marking the biggest opening week of the year, narrowly beating Taylor Swift’s Fearless (Taylor’s Version) (291,000 units). Sour has already minted four Top 10 hits on the Billboard Hot 100, including the chart-toppers “Driver’s License” and “Good 4 U,” along with “Deja Vu” (No. 3) and “Traitor” (No. 9). 

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Eilish’s Happier Than Ever is currently on track to spend its third week at No. 2 after reigning atop the chart during its first two frames. The 19-year-old star’s sophomore album is projected to move 56,000 units, of which 18,000 are pure sales. Physical sales have been a huge component of Happier Than Ever’s success from the start: The album debuted with 238,000 equivalent units, of which 153,000 were pure sales, plus 84,000 streaming-equivalent albums (totaling 113.87 million streams). Those album sales were bolstered by eight color variant vinyl LPs, 10 CD variants and multiple cassette tape variants, Billboard reports. These combined mediums totaled 129,000 physical sales (including 73,000 on vinyl), with an additional 24,000 pure sales coming from digital downloads.

On the other end of the spectrum, Doja Cat’s Planet Her is projected to rebound from No. 5 to No. 3 this week with 55,000 equivalent units. Only 500 of those units are expected to come from pure sales, with almost all the rest coming from streams. Doja Cat has been heating up the U.S. and global Spotify charts all week, with Planet Her cut “Need to Know” reaching a new peak of No. 4 in the U.S. on Tuesday. It also peaked at No. 6 on the global chart Tuesday with 4.186 million streams, marking the largest single-day streaming total for a solo female rap song in the platform’s history, per Chart Data.

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This is not a new sensation for Doja Cat. The singer and rapper first rose to prominence in 2018 when the video for her joke single “Mooo!” became a viral sensation and meme. Her 2019 song “Say So” reached No. 1 in 2020 after spawning a viral dance trend on TikTok and bolstered by a remix featuring Nicki Minaj. 

Of the three artists vying for No. 1 on next week’s Billboard 200, Doja Cat is the only one who hasn’t topped the chart yet. She came close last month, when Planet Her debuted at No. 2 behind Tyler, the Creator’s Call Me If You Get Lost. But Doja Cat’s album has demonstrated far more staying power. It sits at No. 5 on this week’s chart, while Call Me If You Get Lost is No. 31. As “Need to Know” continues to gain streaming momentum, Doja Cat’s new album shows no signs of a drop-off anytime soon.

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