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‘No Time To Die’ Passes $600 Million Worldwide

No Time to Die earned another $7.82 million (-36%) in its fourth domestic weekend, bringing its 24-day total to $133.33 million. For what it’s worth, that’s bigger than the unadjusted totals of every 007 movie save for Pierce Brosnan’s Die Another Day ($160 million in 2002) and the four previous Daniel Craig James Bond films (Casino Royale with $167 million in 2006, Quantum of Solace with $168 million in 2008, Skyfall with $304 million in 2012 and Spectre with $200 million in 2015). Inflation tells a different story.

Its likely $150 million-plus domestic finish will make it one of the lower-grossing Bond flicks in terms of domestic tickets sold. It’ll be essentially tied with On Her Majesty’s Secret Service ($23 million in 1969/$150 million adjusted) and above only A View to a Kill ($50 million in 1985/$131 million adjusted), The Living Daylights ($52 million in 1987/$121 million adjusted), The Man With the Golden Gun ($21 million in 1974/$105 million adjusted) and License to Kill ($35 million in 1989/$85 million adjusted).

However, on a Covid curve, $150 million isn’t half-bad. 1.15 x $150 million is $173 million, which is about where a direct sequel to the $200 million-grossing Spectre might have ended up in non-Covid times. The film will still likely end up (like most 007 movies) in the top ten for 2021. There’s a conversation to be had about whether MGM being the distributor in North America instead of Sony (or Universal, which is releasing the film in most overseas markets) will take a hit due to the smaller domestic gross and harsher legs compared to the overseas performance.

Prior to the Amazon deal, I would have argued that the contrast would put Universal in prime position to snag the global distribution rights for James Bond 26. Still, the film opened with a solid $28 million in China. That’s a reasonable 39% drop from Spectre’s $47 million opening weekend (the Chinese marketplace has changed in the last six years. Similar legs would give it a $52 million finish. Anything leggier than that would put it between Skyfall ($60 million) and Spectre ($83 million). More importantly, since China contributed just 9.4% to Spectre’s global cume, it was never a do-or-die territory.

No Time to Die has indeed passed $600 million worldwide as of this weekend. It has now earned more than Casino Royale ($600 million in 2006), Quantum of Solace ($585 million in 2008) and every prior 007 flick save for Skyfall ($1.1 billion in 2012) and Spectre ($881 million in 2015). That it perhaps cost too much ($250 million) and suffered too many Covid delays to break even theatrically (even with a likely bigger-than-F9 global finish) won’t be problems for James Bond 26. The 007 series always has the ability to start over with a clean slate after every movie.

The film earned $60 million worldwide this weekend for a new $606 million global cume. If it merely takes a normal rate-of-descent (and earns at least $20 million in Australia), we’re looking at a global total well above F9 ($716 million) and possibly closer to $750 million than $700 million. Depending on how well the last wave of biggies (Eternals, Encanto, Sing 2, Matrix Resurrections and Spider-Man: No Way Home) perform, a likely over/under $735 million global finish could still find No Time to Die near the very top of the pandemic-era Hollywood mountain.

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